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Follow - Up Guidelines for Uncertain Pregnancy Viability

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So we talked a little bit earlier about follow-up.

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So we, we need to figure out, well, how do we get from this

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again, red light to this green light?

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And again, we do a follow-up.

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To be totally honest, I found the follow-up recommendations

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from the consensus conference.

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Uh, a little confusing in the way they worded it.

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They left some stuff out,

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but I'm gonna go over them here

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so you're aware of what they are.

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Um, but the, the British group also did a follow-up study

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that I think, um, iron some

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of those things out a little more

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and makes it even easier for us to have our recommendations.

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So from the consensus conference,

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if we saw us empty sac less than 25 millimeters, pregnancy

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of uncertain viability, if you did a follow-up in 14 days,

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two weeks, now you could call it a definitive demise if no

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embryo with a heartbeat was identified,

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and in which case we are green-lighted for safe to evacuate.

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And again, I just keep saying this,

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but I'm gonna to emphasize it doesn't mean you need

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to evacuate the uterus.

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That's a decision for the gynecologist obstetrician,

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but it's safe to do so.

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If they were to so desire, what if we saw a sack

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with a yolk sack?

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Well, in that case, they wanted you to follow up in 11 days

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and you could diagnose a demise if there's

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no embryo with a heartbeat.

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Strangely, they actually didn't say what

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to do if you saw an embryo that was, say three millimeters

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or an embryo less than seven millimeters without

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a heartbeat, what to do?

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So the British group, as I said, they came out

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with a follow-up study

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and they found using these follow-up guidelines

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that I'm gonna cover here had a 100% positive predictive

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value and specificity for pregnancy failure.

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Now remember, these are the people that really wanted us

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to operate on the very safe end of practice in order

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to not have any chance

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of harming a possible viable intru in pregnancy.

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This is what we use.

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If you see an embryo less than seven millimeters.

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So this is a pregnancy of unknown viability

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with no heartbeat.

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You do a seven day follow-up and we will call it a demise.

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If at that point we don't see an embryo with a heartbeat.

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And why is this safe?

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I, I told you I wouldn't talk about how fast embryos

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or sacks grew, but I lied a little bit

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and I don't expect you to remember it

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because I barely remember it.

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But I cover this just

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to understand why this practice is so safe.

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So if we identify an embryo, let's say one

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of the smallest embryos, we could see two millimeters.

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An embryo will grow at about a millimeter a day.

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So in seven days, in theory that two millimeter

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Embryo should be nine millimeters.

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Well, that's way beyond the five millimeters we used to use.

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And it's clearly beyond the seven millimeters

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that we're supposed to use now.

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And this is all not to mention, as I said

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before, that really we see a heartbeat in almost

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any embryo that's alive.

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So point being a one week follow-up

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for any embryo without a heartbeat

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that's less than seven millimeters in one week, is going

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to be a very safe practice

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and a safe way to diagnose a definitive demise.

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Now in the consensus statement, they distinguish

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between a sack and a yolk sack or one without a yolk sack.

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And they had differing time follow-ups.

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But I actually liked what the British group came up with

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and made this even simpler.

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And they said, forget about the yolk sack or whatever.

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I just wanna look at a sack that's less than 12 millimeters

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or greater than 12 millimeters,

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and we're going to not add in numbers like 11.

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We're gonna keep it at numbers like seven in 14

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days, one week, two week.

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So if you saw a mean sac diameter

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of less than 12 millimeters,

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you could follow it up in 14 days.

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And if you don't see an embryo with a heartbeat at

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that time, it's a demise and it's safe to evacuate.

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Now, um, sac with no embryo

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that's greater than 12 millimeters greater than

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or equal to 12 millimeters, obviously

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that's gone even further.

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So we only have to follow that up for seven days

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and it's a demise if we don't see

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an embryo with a heartbeat.

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And then we're back to safe to evacuate.

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So why is this one safe Again,

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I told you I didn't talk about this,

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but just so we understand, in a normal pregnancy,

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the gestational sac shows up at five weeks

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and an embryo usually at six weeks.

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And you don't need to remember those numbers.

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But what I wanna illustrate is that the time

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between a gestational sack showing up

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and an embryo showing up is only about a week.

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So in the cases where we've already got a sack

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that's bigger than 12 millimeters,

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it's been there for a while.

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So waiting one week should be very safe

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if the sack is smaller, okay,

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maybe it hasn't been there for a while.

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So waiting two weeks again should be pretty safe.

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And these were shown in their study to be 100% specific.

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So we do need to make sure that we are using, uh, again,

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the criteria for intrauterine pregnancy

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that we talked about earlier,

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but these guidelines of one week,

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two week follow-up just based on sac size or what I use

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and what I think are a lot easier to remember and to use.

Report

Faculty

Tony Filly, MD

Chair of Medicine

Community Hospital of the Monterey Peninsula

Tags

Women's Health

Uterus

Ultrasound

Obstetrics

Gynecologic (GYN)

Congenital

Body